Washington Post-ABC News Poll
These Washington Post-ABC News polls were conducted by telephone February 16-20, 2008, among a random samples of 611 Ohio adults and 603 Texas adults likely to vote in their state's Democratic primary. The results have sampling error margins of plus or minus four percentage points. In Texas, interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Ohio results include additional interviews with randomly-selected African Americans for a total of 104 black likely Democratic primary voters. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Are you registered to vote in (Ohio/Texas) at your present address, or not?
Yes No No opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 100 0 0
Texas 100 0 0
2. How closely are you following the presidential campaign: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt. NET Not too At all opinion
2/20/08 Ohio RV 84 39 45 16 10 6 *
Ohio LV 93 52 41 7 5 1 *
Texas RV 82 43 39 18 12 6 *
Texas LV 93 62 31 7 6 1 *
3. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the (Ohio/Texas) presidential primary to be held on March 4th. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Cert./ Less Will not
Already than vote No
voted Prob. 50-50 50-50 (vol.) op.
2/20/08 Ohio 100 0 0 0 0 0
Texas 100 0 0 0 0 0
4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) Will you vote in the (Democratic) primary or in the (Republican) primary?* Democratic Republican No opinion 2/20/08 Ohio 100 0 0 Texas 100 0 0 *Past tense if already voted
5. If the Democratic primary were being held today, would you vote for (Hillary Clinton) or (Barack Obama)?*
NET LEANED VOTE
Hillary Barack Other None of these No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 50 43 1 1 6
Texas 48 47 1 1 3
*Past tense if already voted
6. (IF NAMED CLINTON/OBAMA AND NOT YET VOTED) Will you definitely vote for (NAME), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for (OTHER NAME)? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?
2/20/08 - Summary Table
Definitely -Chance change mind - No
vote for NET Good Unlikely opinion
NET
Ohio 71 26 12 14 3
Texas 76 22 13 9 2
Hillary Clinton
Ohio 72 27 11 16 2
Texas 73 24 14 9 3
Barack Obama
Ohio 70 26 14 12 4
Texas 79 21 12 9 *
7. (IF SUPPORT CLINTON/OBAMA) How enthusiastic are you/were you about voting for (NAMED CANDIDATE) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
2/20/08 - Summary Table
-- Enthusiastic --- -- Not Enthusiastic -- No
NET Very Fairly NET Not too At all opin.
NET
Ohio 91 54 37 7 6 1 2
Texas 94 64 30 5 3 2 *
Hillary Clinton
Ohio 91 53 38 8 6 2 2
Texas 94 65 29 6 3 2 *
Barack Obama
Ohio 92 56 36 6 6 * 2
Texas 94 62 32 6 4 2 *
8. What is the single most important issue in your choice for the Democratic candidate for president?
--- 2/20/08 ---
Ohio Texas
Economy/Jobs 34 22
Health care 30 33
Iraq/War in Iraq 9 14
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption
in government 3 3
Change 3 2
Education 2 3
Terrorism/National security 1 1
Morals/Family values 1 *
Federal budget deficit 1 *
Environment * 0
Immigration/Illegal
immigration * 4
Abortion * 0
Housing/Mortgages * 0
Global warming * 0
Social Security * 1
Foreign policy * 1
Taxes * *
None/Nothing 0 1
Other 9 9
No opinion 7 6
9. How would you feel if (INSERT NAME) wins the nomination - very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
2/20/08 - Summary Table
--- Satisfied --- -- Dissatisfied -- No
NET Very Smwht. NET Smwht Very opinion
Hillary Clinton
Ohio 77 42 35 21 13 8 2
Texas 75 42 33 24 10 14 1
Barack Obama
Ohio 71 39 32 27 13 14 2
Texas 77 44 33 21 10 11 2
10. Regardless of who you support, who do you think (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?
2/20/08 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. is the strongest leader
Ohio 53 36 5 2 4
Texas 51 40 6 1 2
b. has the best chance of
getting elected president
in November
Ohio 37 48 7 3 5
Texas 36 47 10 3 4
c. best understands the
problems of people like you
Ohio 44 40 8 5 3
Texas 43 43 7 5 1
d. would do the most to bring
needed change to Washington
Ohio 41 46 5 4 3
Texas 40 47 7 3 3
11. Regardless of who you support, who do you trust most to handle (ITEM) - (Clinton) or (Obama)?
2/20/08 - Summary Table
Both Neither No
Clinton Obama (vol.) (vol.) opinion
a. The war in Iraq
Ohio 45 39 6 6 4
Texas 43 44 5 6 2
b. The economy
Ohio 53 34 6 5 3
Texas 51 38 4 4 2
c. Health care
Ohio 54 34 5 4 3
Texas 54 37 4 4 1
d. Immigration issues
Ohio 40 38 5 8 8
Texas 42 40 5 7 5
12. Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: (strength and experience) or (a new direction and new ideas)?
Strength and New direction Both Neither No
experience and new ideas (vol.) (vol.) opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 45 47 7 * 1
Texas 44 46 9 1 1
13. Regardless of who you support, do you think Barack Obama does or does not have the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president?
Does Does not No opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 56 40 4
Texas 53 43 4
14. Regardless of who you support, do you think Hillary Clinton would or would not do enough to bring needed change to Washington?
Would Would not No opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 69 26 5
Texas 67 30 3
15. Do you think only (Clinton) could beat the Republican John McCain in November, only (Obama) could beat McCain, either could beat McCain, or neither could?
Only Only
Clinton Obama Either Neither No opinion
2/20/08 Ohio 12 14 63 7 3
Texas 14 15 62 7 2
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